El Nino Watch

Limitations and disclaimer

This is a personal monitoring tool, not an official warning service. For warnings and evacuation orders, follow the TMD and the DDPM (hotline 1784) and local authorities.

Data and trust

What this dashboard is: a place that gathers public data about El Nino and about Koh Samui, and explains it with transparent rules.

What it is not:

  • Not an official warning service. It does not replace the Thai Meteorological Department (TMD, hotline 1182), the Department of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation (DDPM, hotline 1784), the province, the PWA or the ferry operators.
  • Not a forecast of its own. It relays forecasts from others, and they can be wrong.
  • Not complete. Some things are not tracked automatically (island reservoir levels, the PWA rotation schedule, ferry timetables). Sources can fail; when they do, the app says so.
  • Not medical advice.

The risk thresholds are the app's own choices, based on official scales (TMD rain classes, Thai PCD PM2.5 bands, heat index bands, Beaufort, NOAA Coral Reef Watch) and documented on this page. They are a planning aid.

If official instructions and this app disagree, follow the official instructions.

Sources

Related

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)