El Nino Watch

Sources: success rate

Share of the recent runs (up to the last 200) that worked.

Data and trust

Below 100 % means the source sometimes fails or times out. The newest good data is still shown with its date. A low rate on a critical Koh Samui source (weather, sea, rain) is worth watching: when it fails for too long, the Samui level turns "Unknown" rather than pretending all is calm.

How to read it

95-100 %: reliable. 70-95 %: occasional failures, usually a slow provider. Below 70 %: check the error column and the provider's site.

Related

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)