El Nino Watch

Unknown level ("at least ...")

The overall level cannot be assessed because a critical factor has no current data. "At least X" is the minimum the known factors justify; the real level may be higher.

Koh Samui watch

"Unknown" is an honest answer, not an error to ignore. Example: if the wave forecast is down, the app cannot tell whether ferries will run, so it will not claim "Normal".

What to do while it is unknown:

  • Act on the "at least" level shown.
  • Check the missing information yourself: TMD (tmd.go.th, hotline 1182) for warnings, the ferry operators for crossings.
  • Look at the Sources page to see which source is failing and since when.

Sources

Related

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)