El Nino Watch
Each cell scores how exposed a place is to one hazard over the long term, 0 very low to 4 very high, with the value, the rule used, a note and the source.
Hazards
The matrix uses long-term data only: the 1991-2020 climate normals (ERA5), the 2050 projections (CMIP6), the earthquake record since 1976 (USGS), a year of modelled air quality (CAMS) and the curated El Nino sensitivity. Today's weather does not change it.
Hover or tap a cell for its value, rule and note. Cells without data say so and are left out of the ranking.
Rows: Heat stress (days with feels-like above 35 °C), Cold / winter severity, Water / drought (aridity), Flood (heavy rain, river, coast), Storms / cyclones, Air quality (PM2.5, yearly mean), Wildfire (fire-weather months), Earthquakes (USGS record since 1976), ENSO sensitivity (how much El Nino reaches a place), Climate trend to 2050 (CMIP6), Data coverage per place.
It shows trade-offs at a glance: one place is hot, another cold, a third far from the sea but on a river.
| Score | Label | Colour |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | very low | green |
| 1 | low | yellow |
| 2 | moderate | orange |
| 3 | high | red |
| 4 | very high | magenta |
| -- | no data | grey, dashed |
Exposure scale: 0 very low, 1 low, 2 moderate, 3 high, 4 very high. Higher = more exposed. The colour of the matrix cell follows the same scale.