El Nino Watch

Earthquakes (USGS record since 1976)

Number of magnitude 4.5+ earthquakes within 300 km since 1976 (USGS catalogue), with the strongest one. A count, not an official hazard map.

Hazards

The global catalogue is fairly complete for M4.5+ since the 1970s. Few or no events means low seismic activity nearby, not zero risk. For building standards, check the national seismic zoning or the GEM global hazard map. Recent quakes (30 days, M2.5+) are in the place level.

Why it matters for Koh Samui

Earthquakes are not linked to El Nino, but they matter for a long-term home. Coastal places also have tsunami exposure from distant quakes.

Thresholds

M4.5+ within 300 km since 1976Exposure
00
1-51
6-252
26-1003
> 1004

Exposure scale: 0 very low, 1 low, 2 moderate, 3 high, 4 very high. Higher = more exposed. The colour of the matrix cell follows the same scale.

Sources

Related

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)