El Nino Watch

Valid for, time zones, as of

The day or period a value describes, and the clock used (Samui time or UTC).

Data and trust

  • `valid_for`: the date (YYYY-MM-DD) or period (start/end, both days included) the value describes. The 90-day rain window '2026-06-21/2026-09-18' covers 21 June to 18 September; the weekly Nino 3.4 of 16 Sep covers the week 13-19 Sep; ONI/RONI 'JJA 2026' covers 1 June-31 August.
  • `tz`: 'ICT (UTC+7)' for Samui's local days (weather, sea, rain), 'UTC' for global indices, satellites and cyclone positions.
  • `issued_at`: when an agency published it (bulletins, the IRI forecast).
  • `retrieved_at`: when this app fetched it (for forecasts, the best available stand-in for the model run time).
  • `as_of`: the single time shown next to a value: the observation time, else the issue time, else the fetch time.

Limits. Open-Meteo does not publish the run time of its blended forecast, so the fetch time is shown instead.

How to read it

'Rain 103% of normal (90 d to 18 Sep)' means the 90 days ending on 18 September, Samui time. A value whose `as_of` is old is marked stale.

Why it matters for Koh Samui

ERA5 rain runs about 5 days behind and ONI is a 3-month average: they describe the past, not today. The date tells you how current the picture is.

Sources

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)