El Nino Watch

Thailand situation (national level)

One Thailand-wide picture of floods and storms: declared disaster areas, reported incidents, measured heavy rain and river levels in all 77 provinces.

Data and trust

A national summary rebuilt every few minutes from data the app already collects: incidents reported in the news and social posts (with their links), ThaiWater rain gauges and river / canal stations in every province, DDPM official posts and TMD warning bulletins. Each province gets a level 0-3 with the reasons listed; the country gets a level 0-4.

Limits. News-derived incidents are reports, not measurements: a place can be missed if no outlet names it, and a headline can be misread by the keyword matching. Rain and river readings come from automatic stations that sometimes fail. Always read the linked sources before acting.

How to read it

Province: 3 Act = disaster area declared (DDPM, or reported by 2+ independent outlets) or evacuations / deaths / disaster zone reported by 2+ outlets. 2 Prepare = one such report, flooding reported by 2+ outlets, very heavy rain (> 90 mm in 24 h) or a river over its bank. 1 Watch = any other report, heavy rain (35.1 mm or more) or a river near its bank (80 %+). National level = the worst province; 4 only when disaster areas are declared in 3+ provinces and 10+ provinces are at level 3. An active TMD heavy-rain or storm bulletin alone gives 1.

Why it matters for Koh Samui

Floods on the mainland rarely touch the island directly, but they cut the routes you would use to leave or to be supplied: Bangkok airports, the southern railway and highway, the Surat Thani / Donsak side of the ferries. See "National vs Samui".

Sources

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)