El Nino Watch

Regional earthquakes (USGS)

Magnitude 4.5+ earthquakes of the last 7 days within 3000 km of Koh Samui.

Hazards

The USGS global feed of M4.5+ earthquakes, filtered to Sumatra, the Andaman Sea, Myanmar, the Philippines and Indonesia.

Limits. Magnitudes are revised in the first hours. For tsunami warnings in Thailand follow the NDWC / TMD, not this list.

How to read it

Severity: red = magnitude 7 or more, or the USGS tsunami flag; orange = magnitude 6 or more; green = smaller. The flag means the event is in an area where tsunamis are possible, not that one happened.

Why it matters for Koh Samui

Not an El Nino effect. It is here so that a large regional quake is never missed: the 2004 Sumatra tsunami hit Thailand's Andaman coast (Phuket, Krabi, Khao Lak). Koh Samui is in the Gulf of Thailand, well sheltered from Indian Ocean tsunamis.

Sources

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)