El Nino Watch

Met Office HadCRUT5 and HadSST4

The UK Met Office's long-running global temperature and sea temperature records.

Data and trust

HadCRUT5 (with the University of East Anglia) is the global land + sea surface temperature record; HadSST4 is sea surface temperature only, from ships and buoys. The app keeps the global HadCRUT5, the global HadSST4 and the tropical HadSST4 (30S-30N).

Limits. Monthly, released around the end of the next month. Version numbers in the file names change a few times a decade; the source then shows an error until updated.

How to read it

degC above 1961-1990. HadCRUT5 carries a 95 % range. July 2026 HadCRUT5: +1.10; August 2026 HadSST4 global +1.14, tropics +1.11.

Why it matters for Koh Samui

An independent check on NASA and NOAA. The tropical sea series shows the El Nino warmth directly.

Sources

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)