El Nino Watch

Pacific sea level tilt (east minus west)

sla_pacific_east_minus_west = sla_nino34 minus sla_west_pacific.

Indices

The difference between the sea level in the central-east equatorial Pacific and in the western Pacific warm pool, in cm.

Limits. A simple two-box difference, not an official index.

How to read it

Positive and large = the Pacific is tilted the El Nino way (water piled up in the east). On 2026-09-22 it was about +45 cm. Near zero or negative = neutral or La Nina.

Why it matters for Koh Samui

Global sea level rise is in both boxes and cancels out, so this is a clean ENSO signal that reacts to wind changes within days.

Sources

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)