El Nino Watch

Met Office global and tropical anomalies

hadcrut5_global_anom, hadsst4_global_anom, hadsst4_tropics_anom.

Indices

Monthly departures from 1961-1990 in the Met Office Hadley Centre records: global land + sea (HadCRUT5), global sea surface and tropical (30S-30N) sea surface (HadSST4).

Limits. Monthly, about 4-8 weeks behind.

How to read it

degC above 1961-1990; HadCRUT5 rows carry a 95 % range in meta.ci95.

Why it matters for Koh Samui

Independent confirmation of NASA/NOAA; the tropical sea series tracks El Nino warmth.

Sources

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)