El Nino Watch

The Nino regions (1+2, 3, 3.4, 4)

Four boxes along the equatorial Pacific where sea temperature is averaged to track ENSO. Nino 3.4 is the main one.

Indices

Scientists average the sea surface temperature over fixed boxes of ocean:

  • Nino 1+2: off the coast of Peru and Ecuador.
  • Nino 3: the eastern equatorial Pacific.
  • Nino 3.4: the east-central equatorial Pacific. The reference for El Nino.
  • Nino 4: the central and western equatorial Pacific.

The boxes are drawn on the Map page.

How to read it

When the eastern boxes (1+2, 3) are much warmer than Nino 4, the event is "eastern Pacific" type, like 1997-98 and 2026. When Nino 4 is warmest, it is a "central Pacific" event.

Thresholds

RegionLatitudeLongitude
Nino 1+20 to 10° S90° W to 80° W
Nino 35° N to 5° S150° W to 90° W
Nino 3.45° N to 5° S170° W to 120° W
Nino 45° N to 5° S160° E to 150° W

Sources

Related

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)