El Nino Watch

Sea surface salinity (SMAP)

Saltiness of the sea surface, 8-day average.

Data and trust

NASA SMAP radiometer, JPL CAP algorithm, 8-day running mean.

Limits. Less reliable within ~40 km of coasts (so around Samui itself).

How to read it

PSU, scale 30-40; open ocean ~34-35. Fresher = heavy rain or river water.

Why it matters for Koh Samui

During El Nino the fresh water under the Pacific rain band moves east; in the Gulf of Thailand fresher water follows big rain and river floods.

Sources

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)