El Nino Watch

Freshness ("as of" dates)

Every value carries the date of the data itself (not of the download) and a link to its source. Each source has a maximum age matching how often it really updates.

Data and trust

Different data arrive at very different speeds:

  • Disaster alerts (GDACS): every few minutes.
  • Weather forecasts (Open-Meteo): several times a day.
  • Weekly Nino SST (NOAA CPC): once a week.
  • Satellite images: daily, one or more days behind.
  • ERA5 observed rain for Samui: about 5 days behind.
  • Monthly indices (ONI, RONI, SOI, MEI): once a month, and a 3-month mean is centred on a month that ended weeks ago.

So "as of 2026-07-15" on the ONI is normal (that is the centre of June-August), while "as of" two weeks ago on a weather forecast is a problem. The app compares each value with its source's maximum age and marks it stale when it is too old.

Sources

Related

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)