El Nino Watch

Departure windows (next 7 days)

For each of the next 7 local days: are crossing conditions normal enough to leave by ferry?

Koh Samui watch

Each day combines that day's forecast waves and gusts, TMD Gulf wave bulletins until their end date and, for the first 3 days, a nearby cyclone.

Limits. Wave forecasts beyond 3-4 days are less reliable. The operator's decision on the day is what counts.

How to read it

ok = conditions look normal. caution = possible, expect delays or cancellations. blocked = ferries likely suspended. unknown = no forecast for that day. Pick the earliest ok day if you plan to leave.

Why it matters for Koh Samui

Leaving on a calm day before a rough spell avoids being stuck when ferries stop.

Sources

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)