El Nino Watch

Storm tracks on the map

Lines on the map for tropical cyclones: past track and forecast positions from JMA and JTWC.

Hazards

For JMA and JTWC storms the map item has a line (GeoJSON LineString, [lon, lat]) joining the past track and the forecast positions, and a point at the current position. The payload lists each forecast point with time, winds and distance to Samui.

Limits. Forecast points beyond 72 h are uncertain by several hundred km.

How to read it

Colour = severity by distance: red within 300 km of Samui, orange within 800 km, green further away. The same storm can appear twice (JMA and JTWC) with slightly different positions and winds.

Why it matters for Koh Samui

A storm's closest forecast approach is what decides whether the sea around Samui will close; watch storms whose line points toward the Gulf of Thailand.

Sources

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)