El Nino Watch

DDPM official announcements

Posts of Thailand's Department of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation (DDPM): situation reports, response, and disaster / emergency-area announcements.

Data and trust

DDPM is the government body that declares disaster (emergency assistance) areas and coordinates relief. Its website's data service needs a login token, so the app reads DDPM's official X account @DDPMNews (linked from disaster.go.th) every 30 minutes. Every post is kept as an official item; a post that announces a disaster or emergency-assistance area puts a red flood marker on the province it names.

Limits. Only the latest ~20 posts are visible each time; a declaration published only on the DDPM website or by a provincial governor may appear first in the news (see Incidents reported). No post does not mean no disaster.

How to read it

An official item raises an incident's confidence to "high". A declared province shows "declared: official" on the Thailand page. Posts are in Thai; the province names are matched automatically.

Why it matters for Koh Samui

An official declaration in Surat Thani or Chumphon means the mainland side of the ferries is formally a disaster area: expect road closures and disrupted buses and trains.

Sources

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)