El Nino Watch

Autostart on this Mac

The tracker starts by itself at login and restarts if it crashes, so data keeps flowing while you are away.

Data and trust

A macOS "launch agent" (co.soclose.elninowatch) that runs the tracker in the background at login and restarts it within about 15 seconds if it stops. It serves http://127.0.0.1:8911 on this Mac only.

Limits. It runs only while the Mac is on and logged in. macOS privacy protection blocks background programs from the Documents folder unless the program was allowed; the agent therefore runs with Homebrew's Python, which has that permission here. If the Mac is reinstalled, that permission may need to be granted again (System Settings > Privacy & Security).

How to read it

`./start.sh status` shows whether the agent is loaded and the server answers. `./start.sh stop` really stops it (the agent is unloaded so it does not restart); `./start.sh` starts it again; `./start.sh uninstall` removes autostart.

Why it matters for Koh Samui

Alerts only help if the collectors keep running. A tracker that stopped silently after a reboot would show old data.

Sources

ENSO status now

ONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.80 °C, JJA 2026 (previous +1.39 °C)
RONI (NOAA CPC)
+1.36 °C, JJA 2026
Nino 3.4 weekly (NOAA CPC / OISST)
+3.0 °C anomaly, week of 16 Sep 2026 (SST 29.6 °C)